Moderate risk — powerful yield technology with 5-year clean security history, but TVL declined 91% from peak as Ethena incentives unwound; H2 2026 pivot to RWA and institutional markets is the key recovery bet
Risk Breakdown
Top Risks
Ethena USDe concentration: a significant share of Pendle's $1.2B TVL remains in Ethena-linked pools; a USDe depeg or yield collapse would directly impact the majority of the deposit base
Yield tokenization complexity enables mispricing and arbitrage that retail users may not understand; YT positions can expire completely worthless if realized yields underperform implied rates
Boros funding-rate trading introduces leverage and perp-like liquidation risk to a yield platform; ~$200M in open interest (ATH $250M Jan 2026) faces cascade risk during extreme funding rate volatility events
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